Houston Texans After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Houston Texans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Houston Texans are just 19-23-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -13.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +13.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2015 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2022 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Texans' struggles after victories stem from a franchise-wide pattern of inconsistency that has plagued Houston throughout their relatively short NFL history. This organization has experienced frequent coaching changes, quarterback instability, and roster turnover that creates difficulty maintaining momentum week-to-week. When the Texans win, they often do so by overperforming relative to expectations, which makes it challenging to replicate that level of execution in the following game. Houston's offensive identity has shifted dramatically over the years, from the Arian Foster ground game to the DeAndre Hopkins aerial attack to the current C.J. Stroud era. This lack of sustained strategic vision means the team frequently relies on individual performances rather than systematic advantages, making their success harder to sustain across consecutive weeks. The franchise has also shown a tendency to play up or down to competition levels, suggesting mental preparation issues that particularly manifest in letdown spots. The recent improvement under DeMeco Ryans and with Stroud's emergence indicates this trend may be evolving, but the sample size remains limited. Bettors should be most cautious backing Houston as road favorites after home wins, where the combination of travel and overconfidence creates the perfect storm for an ATS disappointment.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Texans's ATS record as after a win?
The Houston Texans have a 19-23-0 ATS record after a win from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 45.2% of games following victories.
Is betting on the Houston Texans as after a win profitable?
No, betting on the Houston Texans after a win is not profitable, with a -13.6% ROI and a 0.0% win rate against expectations over this period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the league average, as teams typically cover around 50% of spreads, while the Texans only cover 45.2% after wins.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.