The data suggests caution when backing the Green Bay Packers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as on a 3+ game win streak, the Green Bay Packers are just 39-48-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -14.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +14.4%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record39-48-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size87 games
ROI-14.4%
Units Won-12.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-3-00.0%+9.1%
20153-3-00.0%-4.5%
20163-7-00.0%-42.7%
20173-5-00.0%-28.4%
20183-8-00.0%-47.9%
20195-5-00.0%-4.5%
20204-5-00.0%-15.2%
20211-2-00.0%-36.4%
20225-5-00.0%-4.5%
20233-3-00.0%-4.5%
20245-2-00.0%+36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Packers' struggles against the spread during extended win streaks reveal a classic case of market overreaction to momentum. When Green Bay strings together multiple victories, oddsmakers and the betting public tend to inflate their perceived strength, creating inflated lines that don't reflect the team's true capabilities. This psychological phenomenon is particularly pronounced with the Packers due to their high-profile status and Aaron Rodgers' legacy, which draws heavy public betting action. Green Bay's offensive system, historically built around precision timing and Aaron Rodgers' improvisational skills, can become predictable when opponents have multiple games of recent film to study. Teams facing the Packers on win streaks often implement specific defensive adjustments that exploit tendencies, while the Packers themselves may develop a false sense of security that leads to less meticulous preparation. The franchise's tendency to play to the level of competition also factors heavily here. Green Bay has consistently shown they can elevate their game against elite opponents while occasionally struggling against teams they're expected to dominate, creating perfect conditions for ATS disappointments when expectations run high. This trend carries the most weight when the Packers are road favorites during a win streak, as public perception typically pushes lines beyond sustainable levels.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Green Bay Packers's ATS record as on a 3+ game win streak?

The Green Bay Packers have a 39-48-0 ATS record when on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 44.8% cover rate over 87 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the Green Bay Packers as on a 3+ game win streak profitable?

No, betting on the Green Bay Packers when on a 3+ game win streak has not been profitable. The -14.4% ROI indicates significant losses for bettors backing the Packers ATS in this scenario.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well below the expected 50% league average for ATS betting. The Packers' 44.8% cover rate when on winning streaks suggests the betting market may overvalue their momentum in these situations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.