The public often underestimates the Green Bay Packers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Green Bay Packers hold a record of 28-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +30.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $12 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record28-13-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size41 games
ROI+30.4%
Units Won+12.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-0-00.0%+90.9%
20151-2-00.0%-36.4%
20162-2-00.0%-4.5%
20171-1-00.0%-4.5%
20182-1-00.0%+27.3%
20193-1-00.0%+43.2%
20203-1-00.0%+43.2%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20225-3-00.0%+19.3%
20232-0-00.0%+90.9%
20244-1-00.0%+52.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Packers' exceptional performance as underdogs stems from a perfect storm of organizational culture and competitive psychology. Green Bay operates with the mindset of a small-market franchise that must consistently prove itself against larger, more glamorous organizations. This underdog mentality becomes amplified when oddsmakers actually position them as such, creating a psychological edge that translates directly to on-field performance. Aaron Rodgers' leadership style thrives in these scenarios where external expectations are lowered. The veteran quarterback has historically elevated his play when facing adversity, and the team's offensive system becomes more creative and aggressive when they're not expected to dominate. Green Bay's coaching staff also tends to implement more diverse game plans as underdogs, utilizing trick plays and unconventional strategies that catch opponents off-guard. The franchise's stability and veteran leadership prevent the panic that often affects teams in unfavorable betting positions. Their experienced roster understands how to channel the disrespect implied by underdog status into motivation, particularly at Lambeau Field where the crowd feeds off any perceived slight against the franchise. This trend carries the most weight in divisional games and playoff scenarios, where Green Bay's pride and competitive fire reach their peak intensity.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Green Bay Packers's ATS record as as underdog?

The Green Bay Packers have a 28-13-0 ATS record as underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 68.3% ATS win rate over 41 games.

Is betting on the Green Bay Packers as as underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Green Bay Packers as underdogs has been highly profitable with a 30.4% ROI. Their 68.3% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the break-even point needed for profitability.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Packers' 68.3% ATS win rate as underdogs substantially outperforms the league average of approximately 50%. This 18+ percentage point edge represents exceptional value for bettors over the past decade.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.