Green Bay Packers Home Games Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Green Bay Packers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home games, the Green Bay Packers hold a record of 23-17-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +9.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $4 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2015 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2020 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Packers' solid home ATS performance stems from Lambeau Field's unique psychological and environmental advantages that consistently create value against public perception. Green Bay's cold-weather conditioning gives them a measurable edge in late-season games, where visiting teams from warmer climates struggle with the elements while the Packers thrive in familiar conditions. The franchise's methodical approach under Matt LaFleur has emphasized ball control and efficient red zone execution, traits that become amplified at home where crowd noise disrupts opposing offenses and creates favorable down-and-distance situations. Green Bay's home cooking also benefits from how oddsmakers and the betting public view them. The Packers carry significant brand recognition that often inflates their lines, but their actual home-field advantage translates into tangible on-field results through better third-down conversions and fewer pre-snap penalties. Aaron Rodgers' mastery of hard counts becomes particularly effective at Lambeau, where the crowd amplifies false start penalties on visiting offensive lines. Smart bettors should target Green Bay home games against warm-weather teams in November and December, when the weather differential creates the most pronounced competitive advantage. This trend carries maximum value when the Packers are catching points at home, a scenario that historically produces their strongest ATS results.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Green Bay Packers's ATS record as home games?
The Green Bay Packers have a 23-17-0 ATS record in home games from 2014-2024. This translates to a 57.5% ATS win rate over 40 home games during this period.
Is betting on the Green Bay Packers as home games profitable?
Yes, betting on the Green Bay Packers in home games has been profitable with a 9.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the positive ROI, bettors should note this represents a solid but moderate return over the 10-year span.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Packers' 57.5% home ATS win rate is above the typical NFL average of around 50%. Their 9.8% ROI also exceeds what most teams deliver, making them a historically strong home betting option.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.