Green Bay Packers Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Green Bay Packers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Green Bay Packers are just 7-24-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -56.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +56.9%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2019 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Packers' struggles as road favorites stem from their historically pass-heavy offensive identity clashing with the road environment's inherent challenges. Green Bay's reliance on Aaron Rodgers' pre-snap reads and audibles becomes significantly more difficult in hostile stadiums where communication breaks down. Unlike ground-control teams that can impose their will regardless of crowd noise, the Packers' aerial attack requires precision timing that road conditions often disrupt. Green Bay's defensive inconsistencies compound these issues when playing as favorites away from Lambeau. The team has frequently struggled to generate consistent pass rush on the road, allowing opposing quarterbacks extended time in the pocket. When you're favored, opponents often adopt more conservative game plans, but the Packers' defense hasn't reliably forced the mistakes needed to cover inflated spreads in enemy territory. The psychological element cannot be ignored either. Green Bay players and coaches have acknowledged feeling the weight of expectations when favored on the road, leading to conservative play-calling that contradicts their explosive offensive capabilities. This creates a perfect storm where the Packers often win games but fail to dominate as the betting market expects. This trend carries the most significance when Green Bay is favored by more than a field goal in divisional road games, where familiarity breeds competitive balance.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Green Bay Packers's ATS record as away favorite?
The Green Bay Packers have a 7-24-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 22.6% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances for any team in a specific situation over this timeframe.
Is betting on the Green Bay Packers as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Green Bay Packers as away favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -56.9% ROI from 2014-2024. A $100 bet on each game would have resulted in a loss of approximately $569.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as away favorites typically cover around 48-52% of the time. The Packers' 22.6% cover rate as away favorites is well below what would be expected from any NFL team in this situation.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.