The public often underestimates the Green Bay Packers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the Green Bay Packers hold a record of 8-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +27.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $3 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record8-4-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size12 games
ROI+27.3%
Units Won+3.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-0-00.0%+90.9%
20150-1-00.0%-100.0%
20161-0-00.0%+90.9%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20201-1-00.0%-4.5%
20231-0-00.0%+90.9%
20241-1-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Packers' success as road underdogs following victories stems from their organizational culture of resilience and Aaron Rodgers' proven ability to elevate his game when disrespected by oddsmakers. Green Bay historically thrives when written off, with Rodgers particularly motivated by perceived slights. The team's veteran leadership and championship pedigree create a mental edge in hostile environments where they're not expected to win. Matt LaFleur's offensive system has enhanced this dynamic by emphasizing adaptability and exploiting defensive weaknesses that become more pronounced when opponents expect an easy victory. The Packers' ability to control tempo through their ground game while maintaining explosive passing potential creates matchup problems for teams that may approach these contests overconfidently. Additionally, Green Bay's special teams units under coordinator Rich Bisaccia have consistently provided field position advantages that prove crucial in tight road contests. The psychological element cannot be understated - this franchise has conditioned itself to respond positively to adversity, particularly when coming off momentum-building wins. Players buy into the "us against the world" mentality that road underdog situations naturally create. This trend carries the most weight when the Packers are catching 3-7 points against divisional opponents or playoff-caliber teams following statement victories.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Green Bay Packers's ATS record as away underdog after a win?

The Green Bay Packers have an 8-4-0 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 66.7% ATS win rate over 12 games.

Is betting on the Green Bay Packers as away underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Packers as away underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 27.3% ROI. Despite covering the spread in 8 of 12 games, they have not won any of these games straight up (0.0% win rate).

How does this compare to the league average?

This 66.7% ATS performance significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for similar situations. The 27.3% ROI indicates exceptional value in this specific betting scenario for Green Bay.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.