The Green Bay Packers show mixed results as after a win. Since 2014, they're 19-18-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -2.0%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record19-18-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size37 games
ROI-2.0%
Units Won-0.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-1-00.0%+52.7%
20152-1-00.0%+27.3%
20161-1-00.0%-4.5%
20172-2-00.0%-4.5%
20181-3-00.0%-52.3%
20192-2-00.0%-4.5%
20201-4-00.0%-61.8%
20222-0-00.0%+90.9%
20232-2-00.0%-4.5%
20242-2-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Packers' mediocre performance after wins reflects the psychological challenges that come with success in Green Bay's unique organizational culture. Under Matt LaFleur and previously with Mike McCarthy, this franchise has consistently struggled with the mental transition from celebration to preparation. Aaron Rodgers' leadership style, while brilliant on game day, has historically created a team dynamic where emotional highs after victories can lead to complacency in practice and film study. Green Bay's offensive system relies heavily on rhythm and timing, particularly in the passing game. When the Packers come off impressive wins, they often face opponents who've had extra time to study their tendencies, while the team itself may lack the same urgency in preparation. The franchise's small-market mentality means they don't always get the same media attention as larger markets, which can contribute to overlooking upcoming opponents after big victories. The coaching staff's tendency to stick with what worked in the previous game, rather than adapting to new challenges, becomes more pronounced following wins. This creates predictable patterns that sharp bettors and opposing coordinators can exploit. This trend matters most when Green Bay is coming off divisional wins or primetime victories, where the emotional high is greatest and the letdown potential is maximized.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Green Bay Packers's ATS record as after a win?

The Green Bay Packers have gone 19-18-0 against the spread (ATS) when playing after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 51.4% ATS win rate over 37 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Green Bay Packers as after a win profitable?

Betting on the Green Bay Packers after a win has not been profitable, showing a -2.0% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative return indicates this has been a losing betting strategy.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Packers' 51.4% ATS rate after wins is slightly above the typical 50% baseline but below what's needed for profitability. The -2.0% ROI suggests underperformance compared to successful betting situations that typically require 52.4%+ win rates to overcome standard betting juice.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.