Detroit Lions vs Division Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Detroit Lions in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs division opponent, the Detroit Lions are just 7-14-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -36.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +36.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Lions' struggles against division opponents stem from a combination of familiarity breeding contempt and Detroit's historical inability to handle the pressure of must-win divisional games. NFC North rivals know Detroit's tendencies intimately, particularly their tendency to abandon the run game when trailing and Matthew Stafford's propensity for late-game interceptions in high-pressure situations. The Packers especially have exploited Detroit's secondary weaknesses, while Chicago's physical defense has consistently rattled Lions quarterbacks into poor decision-making. Detroit's coaching staff has also shown a pattern of conservative play-calling in divisional matchups, often settling for field goals in the red zone when touchdowns are needed to keep pace with higher-scoring division rivals. The psychological weight of decades of disappointment against Green Bay and Chicago creates a self-fulfilling prophecy where the Lions play not to lose rather than playing to win. For bettors, this trend suggests fading Detroit in prime-time divisional games where the spotlight amplifies their historical struggles. The pattern becomes most critical during the final six weeks of the season when divisional games carry playoff implications and the Lions' mental fragility is most exposed.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Detroit Lions's ATS record as vs division opponent?
The Detroit Lions have a 7-14-0 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 33.3% cover rate over 21 divisional games during this period.
Is betting on the Detroit Lions as vs division opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Detroit Lions against division opponents has not been profitable, showing a -36.4% ROI from 2014-2024. Bettors would have lost significant money consistently backing the Lions in divisional matchups during this timeframe.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Lions' 33.3% ATS cover rate against division opponents is well below the expected 50% league average. Their performance in divisional games has been particularly poor compared to typical NFL team ATS rates.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.