Detroit Lions Large Favorite (-7.5+) Betting Trend

The Lions' struggles as heavy favorites stem from a franchise historically unaccustomed to dominance, creating psychological hurdles when expectations soar. Detroit has spent decades as the underdog, and when thrust into the role of overwhelming favorite, the team often plays tight and conservative rather than with the aggressive mentality that got them there. This shift in approach becomes particularly pronounced when facing desperate opponents who have nothing to lose against a heavily favored Lions squad. Detroit's offensive identity under Dan Campbell emphasizes physicality and emotion, but large spreads can lead to overthinking and abandoning what works. The Lions tend to excel when playing with a chip on their shoulder, but commanding respect as a heavy favorite removes that edge. Additionally, the franchise's long history of disappointment creates a fanbase and media environment that amplifies pressure in these spots, potentially affecting player mentality. The most actionable insight for bettors is recognizing that Detroit performs better when they can maintain their underdog mentality, even as favorites. Look for spots where the Lions are favored but still have something to prove or face quality opposition that won't roll over. This trend matters most in primetime games or against divisional opponents where emotions and preparation levels are heightened.