Detroit Lions Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Detroit Lions in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Detroit Lions hold a record of 17-10-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +20.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $5 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2019 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Lions' success as home underdogs stems from a perfect storm of psychological and strategic factors that create value for sharp bettors. Detroit thrives when expectations are low because it removes the pressure that has historically plagued this franchise. When oddsmakers doubt them at Ford Field, the Lions often respond with their most inspired football, feeding off a fanbase that embraces the underdog mentality that defines Detroit culture. Schematically, being home underdogs typically indicates the Lions are facing superior opponents, which forces defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn to deploy more aggressive game plans. This often leads to increased blitz packages and creative coverages that can fluster even elite quarterbacks in the indoor environment of Ford Field, where crowd noise becomes a legitimate factor. The controlled climate also eliminates weather as a variable, allowing Detroit's offense to execute their preferred tempo and rhythm. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the Lions are catching points at home against teams with strong road records but questionable motivation. Detroit's players and coaching staff have consistently shown they elevate their preparation when disrespected by the betting market. This trend carries the most weight in divisional matchups and prime-time games, where emotional factors amplify and the Lions' desperation often exceeds their opponent's intensity.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Detroit Lions's ATS record as home underdog?
The Detroit Lions have a 17-10-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This means they have covered the spread in 17 games and failed to cover in 10 games when playing at home as underdogs.
Is betting on the Detroit Lions as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Detroit Lions as home underdogs has been profitable with a 20.2% ROI over this period. Despite a 0.0% straight-up win rate, their strong ATS performance of 63% has generated positive returns for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Lions' 63% ATS win rate as home underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 20.2% ROI indicates they have been one of the more profitable home underdog betting opportunities in the NFL during this timeframe.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.