Detroit Lions Home After 2+ Losses Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Detroit Lions in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home after 2+ losses, the Detroit Lions are just 19-24-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -15.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +15.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2019 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2020 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2021 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2022 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Lions' struggles at home following multiple losses stem from a toxic combination of organizational pressure and fan expectations that historically overwhelmed a franchise lacking championship-level leadership. Detroit's home crowd, while passionate, becomes increasingly hostile when the team enters a losing spiral, creating an atmosphere that amplifies rather than alleviates the psychological burden on players already questioning their system and coaching staff. This pattern reflects deeper structural issues that plagued Detroit through most of this sample period - inconsistent offensive line play, defensive scheme confusion, and coaching staffs that failed to provide effective halftime adjustments. When facing the pressure of needing to "right the ship" at Ford Field, the Lions consistently made critical errors in high-leverage moments, suggesting a franchise culture that crumbled under adversity rather than rising to meet it. The recent coaching change under Dan Campbell appears to have shifted this dynamic, but the historical trend reveals how organizational instability manifests in betting markets. Detroit's inability to cover spreads in these spots often coincided with overvalued lines that failed to account for their mental fragility. This trend matters most when Detroit returns home after road losses to divisional opponents, where the emotional stakes and media scrutiny reach their peak intensity.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Detroit Lions's ATS record as home after 2+ losses?
The Detroit Lions have an ATS record of 19-24-0 when playing at home after suffering 2 or more consecutive losses from 2014-2024. This represents a 44.2% ATS win rate over 43 games.
Is betting on the Detroit Lions as home after 2+ losses profitable?
No, betting on the Detroit Lions at home after 2+ losses has not been profitable, showing a -15.6% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates bettors would have lost money consistently following this trend.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Lions' 44.2% ATS win rate in this situation is below the expected 50% break-even point for profitable betting. Their performance is notably poor compared to league averages, making this a fade opportunity rather than a betting angle.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.