The data suggests caution when backing the Detroit Lions in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Detroit Lions are just 14-19-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -19.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +19.0%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record14-19-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size33 games
ROI-19.0%
Units Won-6.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-2-00.0%-100.0%
20152-2-00.0%-4.5%
20162-1-00.0%+27.3%
20172-1-00.0%+27.3%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20194-2-00.0%+27.3%
20202-3-00.0%-23.6%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20220-2-00.0%-100.0%
20230-1-00.0%-100.0%
20240-3-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Lions' struggles after victories reveal a franchise historically plagued by inconsistency and mental fragility. Detroit has long been a team that fails to build momentum from success, often following breakthrough performances with flat, uninspired efforts. This pattern stems from a combination of coaching instability and a roster that has lacked veteran leadership capable of maintaining focus week-to-week. The psychological component cannot be understated with Detroit. Years of disappointment have created a culture where players and coaches alike seem surprised by success, leading to overconfidence or a subconscious expectation that good fortune won't last. The franchise's tendency to celebrate small victories as major accomplishments has historically prevented them from developing the killer instinct necessary for sustained excellence. From a strategic standpoint, opposing teams have consistently done their homework after Detroit wins, recognizing that the Lions often become predictable when trying to replicate successful game plans. Defensive coordinators have exploited Detroit's tendency to stick with what worked rather than evolve their approach. Smart bettors should target Detroit as road favorites after wins, particularly against divisional opponents who know their tendencies intimately. This trend carries the most weight in November and December when playoff implications magnify the pressure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Detroit Lions's ATS record as after a win?

The Detroit Lions have a 14-19-0 ATS record after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 42.4% ATS win rate over 33 games.

Is betting on the Detroit Lions as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Detroit Lions after a win is not profitable. The team has produced a -19.0% ROI, meaning bettors would lose approximately $19 for every $100 wagered.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the league average of roughly 50% ATS. The Lions' 42.4% ATS rate after wins suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads following victories.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.