The public often underestimates the Denver Broncos in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Denver Broncos hold a record of 26-18-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +12.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $6 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record26-18-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size44 games
ROI+12.8%
Units Won+5.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-3-00.0%-100.0%
20152-0-00.0%+90.9%
20167-1-00.0%+67.0%
20171-0-00.0%+90.9%
20183-2-00.0%+14.6%
20193-1-00.0%+43.2%
20204-3-00.0%+9.1%
20212-2-00.0%-4.5%
20221-3-00.0%-52.3%
20232-1-00.0%+27.3%
20241-2-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

Denver's strong underdog performance stems from their organizational culture of resilience and defensive identity that thrives when expectations are lowered. The Broncos have historically built teams around suffocating defense and opportunistic offense, a combination that creates unpredictable outcomes when oddsmakers undervalue their ability to keep games close or steal victories outright. The franchise's defensive pedigree means they rarely get blown out, even when facing superior opponents. This defensive foundation provides a high floor that bettors can exploit when the market overreacts to offensive struggles or quarterback uncertainties. Denver's coaching staff has consistently emphasized preparation and situational football, traits that become magnified in underdog scenarios where every possession matters. The psychological element cannot be overlooked - this organization has a championship mentality that refuses to accept being counted out. Players and coaches often reference their underdog Super Bowl runs, creating a locker room dynamic that embraces the challenge of proving doubters wrong. The key insight for bettors is targeting Denver as home underdogs, where their defensive advantages are amplified and crowd energy can swing momentum. This trend carries the most weight when Denver faces divisional opponents or in primetime games where their defensive experience and organizational pride create the perfect storm for covering spreads.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Denver Broncos's ATS record as as underdog?

The Denver Broncos have a 26-18-0 record against the spread (ATS) when playing as underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 59.1% ATS win rate in underdog situations.

Is betting on the Denver Broncos as as underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Denver Broncos as underdogs has been profitable with a 12.8% return on investment (ROI). Their 59.1% ATS success rate as underdogs significantly exceeds the break-even point needed for profitability.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Broncos' 59.1% ATS win rate as underdogs substantially outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 12.8% ROI demonstrates strong value when betting Denver in underdog roles over this 11-year period.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.