Denver Broncos Primetime Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Denver Broncos in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Denver Broncos hold a record of 26-18-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +12.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $6 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2017 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2019 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2020 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2021 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2023 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2024 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Broncos' strong primetime underdog performance stems from their organizational culture of embracing adversity and their historically opportunistic defense. Denver has long been built around defensive units that thrive when expectations are lowered, creating turnover opportunities that swing momentum in nationally televised games where every play feels magnified. The franchise's altitude advantage also becomes more pronounced in primetime slots, as visiting teams often struggle with the thin air during later kickoffs when their circadian rhythms are already disrupted. Denver's coaching staff has consistently excelled at game-planning when given extra preparation time, and primetime games typically offer additional days to scheme. The Broncos have also benefited from their fanbase's notorious energy during night games at Mile High, where the crowd noise and elevation combine to create a genuinely hostile environment that oddsmakers sometimes undervalue when setting lines. The psychological element cannot be ignored either - this franchise has a championship pedigree that allows players to rise to big moments rather than shrink from them. When the lights are brightest and they're getting points, Denver players often perform with the confidence of a team that belongs on the national stage. This trend carries the most weight when Denver is catching field goals or more at home during primetime divisional matchups.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Denver Broncos's ATS record as primetime underdog?
The Denver Broncos have a 26-18-0 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 59.1% ATS win rate over 44 games.
Is betting on the Denver Broncos as primetime underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Denver Broncos as primetime underdogs has been profitable with a 12.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a 0.0% straight-up win rate, they consistently cover the spread.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Broncos' 59.1% ATS rate as primetime underdogs significantly outperforms the typical 50% expectation. Their 12.8% ROI indicates strong value compared to league-average underdog performance.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.