Denver Broncos Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend

The Broncos' mediocre performance as medium underdogs reflects their organizational identity crisis during periods of transition. Denver has historically been built around strong defensive units and efficient offensive systems, but when they find themselves in the +3.5 to +7 range, it typically signals they're facing superior opponents while lacking the offensive firepower to keep pace. This spread range often catches Denver in awkward spots where their defense keeps games competitive enough to cover, but their offensive limitations prevent them from stealing outright wins. Denver's coaching philosophy under various regimes has emphasized ball control and field position, which can be problematic when playing from behind against better teams. The franchise's struggles at quarterback during much of this sample period meant they often lacked the explosive plays needed to overcome deficits quickly, leading to grinding games that fall just short of expectations. Their defense-first mentality keeps them in games longer than the spread suggests they should be, but without consistent offensive production, they struggle to capitalize on these opportunities. This trend becomes most critical when Denver faces playoff-caliber opponents during divisional games, where familiarity breeds conservative game plans that often result in narrow losses rather than competitive covers.