Denver Broncos Home After 2+ Losses Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Denver Broncos in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home after 2+ losses, the Denver Broncos are just 21-27-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -16.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +16.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2016 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 0-7-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 5-4-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2022 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2024 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Broncos' struggles at home following multiple losses stem from a confluence of psychological pressure and Mile High's unique environment working against them. When Denver faces adversity, the thin air that typically benefits their conditioned players becomes a liability as visiting teams arrive more desperate and focused, while the home crowd's expectations create additional pressure on an already fragmented squad. Denver's organizational culture has historically emphasized defensive identity and running games that control tempo. When these elements break down over consecutive losses, the team often lacks the quick-strike offensive capability to respond to early deficits at home. The altitude advantage that normally wears down opponents becomes neutralized when Denver falls behind early, forcing them into hurried offensive sets that don't suit their methodical approach. The franchise's tendency to rely heavily on veteran leadership means that when confidence erodes through losing streaks, the locker room dynamic shifts dramatically. Younger players look to established veterans for answers, but those same veterans often carry the weight of recent failures into crucial home spots where they're expected to bounce back. This trend carries the most significance when Denver returns home as favorites after road losses, particularly in divisional matchups where opponents arrive with extra motivation to spoil the Broncos' attempted rebound.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Denver Broncos's ATS record as home after 2+ losses?
The Denver Broncos have an ATS record of 21-27-0 when playing at home after suffering 2 or more consecutive losses from 2014-2024. This translates to a 43.8% ATS win rate over 48 games.
Is betting on the Denver Broncos as home after 2+ losses profitable?
No, betting on the Denver Broncos at home after 2+ losses has not been profitable, with a -16.5% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent underperformance against the spread in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Broncos' 43.8% ATS win rate in this situation is below the expected 50% break-even point for spread betting. Their -16.5% ROI suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads when playing at home following multiple losses.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.