Denver Broncos Home Games Betting Trend

The Broncos' disappointing home ATS performance stems from inflated market expectations tied to their high-altitude advantage at Empower Field. Bettors and oddsmakers consistently overvalue Denver's home-field edge, creating lines that don't reflect the team's actual competitive level. The thin air at 5,280 feet above sea level theoretically benefits the home team, but this advantage gets baked into spreads more than it materializes on game days. Denver's offensive inconsistencies have been particularly problematic at home, where crowd expectations run higher and pressure mounts. The franchise has cycled through multiple quarterbacks and offensive coordinators since their Super Bowl 50 victory, leading to predictable home performances that fall short of elevated betting lines. Visiting teams often arrive well-prepared for the altitude factor, having practiced at elevation or arrived early for acclimatization. The market's persistent overadjustment for Denver's home-field advantage creates consistent value on the opposing side. Sharp bettors should consider fading the Broncos at home when they're favored by more than a field goal, especially against divisional opponents who visit Mile High regularly and have adapted to the environmental factors. This trend carries the most weight during primetime home games when public money inflates Denver's line even further.