Denver Broncos After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Denver Broncos in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Denver Broncos are just 23-30-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -17.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +17.1%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2015 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2017 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2018 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2019 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2021 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2023 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Broncos' struggles after losses stem from a franchise-wide pattern of inconsistent leadership and coaching instability over the past decade. Denver has cycled through multiple head coaches and offensive coordinators since their Super Bowl 50 victory, creating an environment where players lack the systematic approach needed to bounce back from adversity. This organizational turbulence manifests most clearly in their inability to make necessary adjustments after disappointing performances. Denver's quarterback carousel has particularly hampered their post-loss recovery. Without consistent signal-caller leadership, the team often compounds mistakes rather than correcting them. The Broncos tend to abandon their ground game too quickly when trailing, despite having capable running backs, which puts additional pressure on an already unstable passing attack. Their defensive unit, while talented, has shown a tendency to play tight in bounce-back spots, allowing opponents to control tempo and field position. The most actionable insight for bettors is recognizing that Denver's post-loss struggles intensify against divisional opponents, where familiarity breeds exploitation of their predictable adjustments. This trend carries the most weight when the Broncos are coming off a home loss and facing a road favorite of three points or fewer, where their mental fragility becomes a significant handicapping factor.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Denver Broncos's ATS record as after a loss?
The Denver Broncos have gone 23-30-0 against the spread after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 43.4% ATS win rate over 53 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Denver Broncos as after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Denver Broncos after a loss has not been profitable, showing a -17.1% ROI over the past decade. This negative return indicates consistent underperformance against betting expectations in bounce-back spots.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Broncos' 43.4% ATS win rate after losses is below the typical NFL average of around 50%. Their -17.1% ROI significantly underperforms compared to league-wide trends in similar situations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.