Dallas Cowboys On a 3+ Game Win Streak Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Dallas Cowboys in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as on a 3+ game win streak, the Dallas Cowboys are just 39-51-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -17.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +17.3%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2015 | 1-7-0 | 0.0% | -76.1% |
| 2016 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2018 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2019 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2021 | 8-5-0 | 0.0% | +17.5% |
| 2022 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2023 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2024 | 1-7-0 | 0.0% | -76.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cowboys' struggles when riding momentum stems from a dangerous combination of organizational overconfidence and market overreaction. Dallas has historically been a franchise that generates excessive media attention and inflated expectations, particularly when things are going well. This creates a perfect storm where the team begins believing its own hype while oddsmakers adjust lines to account for public perception rather than underlying performance metrics. Jerry Jones' Cowboys have consistently shown a pattern of mental lapses during successful stretches, often looking ahead to bigger games or allowing complacency to creep into their preparation. The franchise's "America's Team" mentality can work against them when success breeds entitlement, leading to unfocused performances against teams they're expected to handle easily. Additionally, opposing coaches have more recent film to exploit when Dallas is rolling, making strategic adjustments that catch the Cowboys off-guard. The betting market tends to overvalue Dallas momentum more than most teams due to their massive fanbase and media coverage, creating inflated spreads that don't reflect true team strength. Smart bettors should consider fading the Cowboys when they're riding high, especially as road favorites or in divisional matchups where opponents have extra motivation to knock them down. This trend carries the most weight during mid-season hot streaks when playoff positioning becomes a storyline.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Dallas Cowboys's ATS record as on a 3+ game win streak?
The Dallas Cowboys have an ATS record of 39-51-0 when on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This represents a 43.3% ATS win rate over 90 games.
Is betting on the Dallas Cowboys as on a 3+ game win streak profitable?
No, betting on the Dallas Cowboys when on a 3+ game win streak is not profitable. The team has produced a -17.3% ROI with a 0% long-term win rate for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the league average, as NFL teams typically cover around 50% ATS. The Cowboys' 43.3% ATS rate when streaking hot suggests the betting market overvalues their momentum.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.