The data suggests caution when backing the Dallas Cowboys in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as sunday games, the Dallas Cowboys are just 41-51-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -14.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +14.9%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record41-51-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size92 games
ROI-14.9%
Units Won-13.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20147-3-00.0%+33.6%
20151-7-00.0%-76.1%
20164-4-00.0%-4.5%
20173-5-00.0%-28.4%
20183-4-00.0%-18.2%
20194-4-00.0%-4.5%
20204-3-00.0%+9.1%
20218-5-00.0%+17.5%
20223-8-00.0%-47.9%
20233-1-00.0%+43.2%
20241-7-00.0%-76.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cowboys' struggles on Sundays stem from a combination of primetime pressure and roster construction issues that become magnified in regular Sunday slots. Dallas has historically been built as a finesse team that relies heavily on offensive rhythm and timing, which can be disrupted more easily in the physical, grinding nature of standard Sunday games compared to their more successful primetime performances where they can showcase their skill position talent. Jerry Jones' franchise operates under intense media scrutiny that peaks during Sunday afternoon windows when the national spotlight isn't as forgiving as primetime presentations. The team's psychological makeup suggests they perform better when embracing the "America's Team" narrative in marquee slots rather than grinding through workmanlike Sunday contests. Additionally, Dallas has consistently struggled with situational football and clock management, issues that become more costly in tighter Sunday games where margins are thinner. The Cowboys' recent coaching staffs have also shown a pattern of conservative play-calling in Sunday games, often playing not to lose rather than leveraging their offensive weapons aggressively. This approach has repeatedly led to underwhelming performances against the spread. This trend carries the most weight when Dallas is favored in Sunday afternoon games, particularly against divisional opponents where emotional investment can override strategic execution.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dallas Cowboys's ATS record as sunday games?

The Dallas Cowboys have gone 41-51-0 against the spread in Sunday games from 2014-2024. This represents a 44.6% ATS win rate over 92 total games.

Is betting on the Dallas Cowboys as sunday games profitable?

No, betting on the Dallas Cowboys in Sunday games has not been profitable, showing a -14.9% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Dallas on Sundays.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Cowboys' 44.6% ATS win rate in Sunday games is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. Their -14.9% ROI suggests significantly worse performance than typical NFL teams in similar situations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.