The public often underestimates the Dallas Cowboys in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Dallas Cowboys hold a record of 18-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +10.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $3 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record18-13-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size31 games
ROI+10.8%
Units Won+3.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-0-00.0%+90.9%
20151-1-00.0%-4.5%
20161-2-00.0%-36.4%
20172-1-00.0%+27.3%
20182-0-00.0%+90.9%
20192-2-00.0%-4.5%
20203-1-00.0%+43.2%
20212-0-00.0%+90.9%
20221-4-00.0%-61.8%
20231-1-00.0%-4.5%
20240-1-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cowboys' success as home underdogs stems from their unique psychological makeup and the dynamics of playing at AT&T Stadium. When Dallas enters as an underdog at home, it typically signals that oddsmakers view their opponent as significantly superior, creating a scenario where the Cowboys play with house money while benefiting from their passionate fanbase. This combination often produces inspired performances from a franchise that historically responds well to adversity and bulletin board material. Jerry Jones' Cowboys have always possessed the talent to compete with elite teams, but their inconsistency often leads to underdog status against top-tier opponents. When facing superior competition at home, Dallas tends to simplify their game plan and rely on their playmakers to make individual impact plays. The familiarity of their home environment allows them to execute at a higher level than expected, while the underdog role removes the pressure that often accompanies their "America's Team" expectations. Smart bettors should target this trend when Dallas faces playoff-caliber teams at home during primetime slots, as the combination of national attention and underdog status creates the perfect storm for the Cowboys to exceed expectations and deliver value against the spread.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dallas Cowboys's ATS record as home underdog?

The Dallas Cowboys have an 18-13-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 58.1% ATS win rate over 31 games.

Is betting on the Dallas Cowboys as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Dallas Cowboys as home underdogs has been profitable with a 10.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite being underdogs at home, they've consistently covered the spread at a high rate.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Cowboys' 58.1% ATS win rate as home underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 10.8% ROI indicates strong value in this specific betting situation.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.