Dallas Cowboys After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Dallas Cowboys in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Dallas Cowboys are just 18-24-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -18.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +18.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2015 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2020 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2022 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2023 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2024 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cowboys' struggles as favorites following victories stem from a dangerous combination of organizational complacency and inflated market expectations. Dallas has historically been a team that feeds off momentum but simultaneously falls victim to their own hype, particularly when the media narrative shifts positive after a quality win. The franchise's high-profile nature means that any success gets amplified, leading to inflated spreads that don't account for their tendency to play down to competition. Jerry Jones' Cowboys have consistently shown an inability to maintain focus and intensity in what should be "statement games" following big wins. This reflects deeper cultural issues within the organization, where external validation often supersedes internal preparation standards. The team's offensive philosophy under recent coordinators has also contributed, as they've frequently abandoned successful game plans from the previous week in favor of more complex schemes that backfire against prepared opponents. The most actionable insight here is recognizing when Dallas is laying significant points after beating a quality opponent - these spots have historically provided excellent fade opportunities, especially in divisional matchups where opponents are extra motivated to knock the Cowboys down a peg. This trend carries the most weight in primetime games and divisional contests, where the spotlight intensifies Dallas's psychological vulnerabilities.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Dallas Cowboys's ATS record as after a win?
The Dallas Cowboys have an 18-24-0 ATS record after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 42.9% ATS win rate over 42 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Dallas Cowboys as after a win profitable?
No, betting on the Dallas Cowboys after a win is not profitable. The team has produced a -18.2% ROI with a 0% win rate in this situation over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the league average of approximately 50% ATS. The Cowboys' 42.9% ATS rate after wins suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads when coming off victories.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.