The data suggests caution when backing the Dallas Cowboys in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after 2+ consecutive wins, the Dallas Cowboys are just 40-51-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -16.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +16.1%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record40-51-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size91 games
ROI-16.1%
Units Won-14.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-3-00.0%+27.3%
20151-7-00.0%-76.1%
20164-4-00.0%-4.5%
20173-5-00.0%-28.4%
20183-4-00.0%-18.2%
20194-4-00.0%-4.5%
20204-3-00.0%+9.1%
20218-5-00.0%+17.5%
20223-8-00.0%-47.9%
20233-1-00.0%+43.2%
20241-7-00.0%-76.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cowboys' struggles after consecutive wins reflect a franchise-wide pattern of complacency and inflated expectations that has plagued Dallas for decades. When momentum builds, this team consistently falls victim to overconfidence, with players and coaches alike buying into their own hype rather than maintaining the disciplined approach that generated the winning streak. The organization's high-profile nature amplifies this effect, as media attention and fan expectations create additional pressure that manifests as tight, mistake-prone performances. Dallas has historically struggled with emotional regulation, particularly under the spotlight that follows any sign of success. Their offensive line and defensive secondary tend to show lapses in fundamentals when expectations rise, suggesting preparation and focus issues during successful stretches. The coaching staff's tendency to overthink game plans after positive results compounds these problems, often abandoning the simple, effective strategies that created the initial success. Smart bettors should view Dallas as a fade candidate immediately following back-to-back victories, particularly when they're favored by more than a field goal. This trend becomes most critical during divisional games and nationally televised contests, where the psychological pressure peaks and the Cowboys' historical demons are most likely to surface.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dallas Cowboys's ATS record as after 2+ consecutive wins?

The Dallas Cowboys have a 40-51-0 ATS record after 2+ consecutive wins from 2014-2024. This translates to a 44.0% win rate against the spread in these situations.

Is betting on the Dallas Cowboys as after 2+ consecutive wins profitable?

No, betting on the Dallas Cowboys after 2+ consecutive wins has not been profitable, showing a -16.1% ROI from 2014-2024. This indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Dallas in these scenarios.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Cowboys' 44.0% ATS win rate after winning streaks is below the expected 50% break-even point for spread betting. This suggests they consistently fail to cover inflated point spreads following successful runs.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.