Cleveland Browns As Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Cleveland Browns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Cleveland Browns hold a record of 40-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +44.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $23 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2015 | 9-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2018 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2021 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 6-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Browns' exceptional performance as underdogs stems from a franchise culture forged by decades of adversity and low expectations. This psychological edge manifests when Cleveland enters games with nothing to lose, allowing players to compete freely without the pressure that accompanies favored status. The franchise's history of being overlooked creates a chip-on-the-shoulder mentality that translates directly to motivated performances against supposedly superior opponents. Cleveland's roster construction has consistently favored gritty, developmental players who thrive in underdog scenarios. The team's defensive schemes under various coordinators have been designed to disrupt rather than dominate, creating the type of chaotic game environments where talent disparities become less relevant. When playing from behind in public perception, the Browns often deploy more aggressive play-calling and risk-taking that catches opponents off-guard. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Cleveland's underdog value peaks when facing teams with inflated public perception or divisional rivals where motivation runs highest. This trend carries the most weight in primetime games and division matchups where the Browns' underdog identity becomes a tangible competitive advantage rather than just a betting market inefficiency.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cleveland Browns's ATS record as as underdog?
The Cleveland Browns have a 40-13-0 ATS record as underdogs from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 75.5% of games when not favored.
Is betting on the Cleveland Browns as as underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Cleveland Browns as underdogs has been highly profitable with a 44.1% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This represents exceptional value for bettors backing Cleveland when they're getting points.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Browns' 75.5% ATS win rate as underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for underdog ATS performance. Their 44.1% ROI is exceptionally strong compared to the long-term break-even expectation.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.