The public often underestimates the Cleveland Browns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small favorite (-1 to -3), the Cleveland Browns hold a record of 9-3-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +43.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $5 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record9-3-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size12 games
ROI+43.2%
Units Won+5.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-1-00.0%-4.5%
20161-0-00.0%+90.9%
20170-1-00.0%-100.0%
20181-0-00.0%+90.9%
20191-0-00.0%+90.9%
20201-0-00.0%+90.9%
20222-0-00.0%+90.9%
20231-1-00.0%-4.5%
20241-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cleveland Browns' exceptional performance as small favorites stems from their organizational culture of playing with a chip on their shoulder, even when slightly favored. This franchise has endured decades of disappointment and underperformance, creating a mentality where players and coaches approach every game as if they're still proving themselves. When oddsmakers give them just a slight edge, the Browns typically respond by treating the contest as a must-win situation rather than coasting on expectations. Cleveland's coaching staff has historically excelled at game preparation when they know they can't rely on talent alone to win. As small favorites, they're forced to execute disciplined game plans and avoid the mental lapses that plague them when heavily favored or facing elite competition. The Browns' defensive schemes tend to be more aggressive in these spots, while their offensive approach becomes more conservative and mistake-free. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Cleveland thrives in the sweet spot where they have just enough respect to be favored but not enough to become complacent. This psychological dynamic has created consistent value against the spread. This trend matters most in divisional games and against teams with similar records, where Cleveland's desperation to prove legitimacy overrides any false confidence from being favored.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cleveland Browns's ATS record as small favorite (-1 to -3)?

The Cleveland Browns have a 9-3-0 ATS record when favored by 1-3 points from 2014-2024. This represents a 75% ATS win rate in small favorite situations.

Is betting on the Cleveland Browns as small favorite (-1 to -3) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Browns as small favorites has been highly profitable with a 43.2% ROI. Despite covering the spread in 9 of 12 games, this trend shows strong value for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS as small favorites. The Browns' 75% ATS rate and 43.2% ROI indicate exceptional value in this specific betting situation.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.