Cleveland Browns Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Cleveland Browns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Cleveland Browns are just 5-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -20.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +20.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2017 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cleveland Browns' struggles as road favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between market perception and organizational reality. When oddsmakers install Cleveland as favorites away from home, they're typically overvaluing short-term improvements or individual performances while underestimating the franchise's deeper structural issues. The Browns have historically lacked the championship culture and mental toughness required to handle the pressure of being favored on hostile territory. Cleveland's coaching instability and frequent front office turnover create an environment where players struggle with execution in high-leverage situations. Road favorites must possess superior talent and coaching to overcome both the point spread and crowd noise, but the Browns often find themselves in these spots due to temporary factors like opponent injuries or inflated expectations from recent home performances. Their offensive line inconsistencies become magnified in hostile environments, while defensive communication breakdowns are more frequent when dealing with crowd noise. The most actionable insight for bettors is to fade Cleveland as road favorites when the line is set based on recency bias or opponent absences rather than sustainable team strengths. This trend matters most during divisional games in Pittsburgh or Baltimore, where the emotional intensity amplifies Cleveland's historical road favorite weaknesses.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cleveland Browns's ATS record as away favorite?
The Cleveland Browns have a 5-7-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024. This represents a 41.7% ATS win rate across 12 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Cleveland Browns as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Cleveland Browns as away favorites has not been profitable, with a 0.0% win rate and -20.4% ROI. This indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Cleveland in this scenario.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Browns' 0.0% win rate as away favorites significantly underperforms the typical league average of around 50% for away favorites. Their -20.4% ROI is substantially worse than the expected break-even performance.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.