Cincinnati Bengals Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Cincinnati Bengals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Cincinnati Bengals hold a record of 7-5-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +11.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $1 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Bengals' strong performance as home underdogs following victories stems from their organizational tendency to respond well to disrespect while riding positive momentum. Cincinnati has historically been a franchise that feeds off being overlooked, and the combination of coming off a win while still being favored against at home creates an ideal psychological setup. The team's offensive identity under various coaching regimes has emphasized explosive plays and rhythm passing, both of which tend to be more effective when confidence is high from recent success. Cincinnati's home field advantage at Paul Brown Stadium, while not among the NFL's most intimidating, provides enough of an edge when combined with the team's tendency to play loose and aggressive when expectations are managed downward. The franchise's culture has often embraced the underdog mentality, particularly during their more successful seasons when they've had talented rosters that oddsmakers have been slow to fully respect. The key betting insight here is recognizing when Cincinnati enters these spots with their core offensive weapons healthy, as their ability to generate big plays increases dramatically when they're playing with house money. This trend carries the most weight early in seasons when the betting market is still adjusting to roster changes or coaching improvements.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cincinnati Bengals's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Cincinnati Bengals have a 7-5-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 58.3% ATS win rate over 12 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Cincinnati Bengals as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Cincinnati Bengals as home underdogs after a win has been profitable with an 11.4% ROI. Despite covering the spread in 7 of 12 games, the positive ROI indicates profitable betting opportunities.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 58.3% ATS rate is above the typical 50% league average for ATS performance. The 11.4% ROI also exceeds what most teams generate in similar situational spots, making this a historically profitable trend.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.