Cincinnati Bengals Favorite After 3+ Game Losing Streak Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Cincinnati Bengals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as favorite after 3+ game losing streak, the Cincinnati Bengals are just 15-25-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -28.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +28.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 5-4-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2019 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Bengals' struggles as favorites following extended losing streaks stem from a franchise historically plagued by inconsistent execution under pressure. When Cincinnati enters games as chalk after multiple defeats, they face the dual burden of stopping their slide while meeting elevated expectations from oddsmakers who may be overvaluing their talent relative to their current form. This pattern reflects deeper organizational issues that have persisted across different coaching regimes. The Bengals often struggle with game management and discipline precisely when they need it most, leading to costly turnovers, penalties, and blown coverages that keep games closer than the spread suggests. Their offensive line inconsistencies become magnified when facing desperate opponents who know they're catching a wounded favorite. The psychological element cannot be ignored either. Cincinnati players and coaches tend to press when labeled favorites during rough patches, abandoning the patient, methodical approach that typically serves them better as underdogs. This manifests in forced throws from Joe Burrow and overly aggressive defensive schemes that create explosive play opportunities for opponents. Smart bettors should fade the Bengals as favorites when they're coming off three or more consecutive losses, particularly in divisional games where opponents know their tendencies intimately and motivation runs highest.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cincinnati Bengals's ATS record as favorite after 3+ game losing streak?
The Cincinnati Bengals have an ATS record of 15-25-0 (37.5%) when favored after suffering a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This represents 40 total games where they were favored following extended losing streaks.
Is betting on the Cincinnati Bengals as favorite after 3+ game losing streak profitable?
No, betting on the Cincinnati Bengals as favorites after 3+ game losing streaks is not profitable, with a -28.4% ROI from 2014-2024. Bettors would have lost significant money consistently backing the Bengals in this specific situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than typical NFL trends, as the Bengals have a 0.0% win rate in these situations. Most NFL teams show some ability to bounce back as favorites, making Cincinnati's complete failure to cover spreads in this scenario notably poor.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.