Cincinnati Bengals Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Cincinnati Bengals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Cincinnati Bengals are just 3-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -42.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +42.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Bengals' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a combination of organizational culture and psychological factors that have plagued the franchise for years. Cincinnati has historically been a team that feeds off home crowd energy and familiar surroundings, making them particularly vulnerable when thrust into hostile environments while carrying the burden of recent failure. The franchise's well-documented issues with mental toughness become magnified when they're expected to bounce back on the road, where distractions are amplified and execution becomes more challenging. Cincinnati's coaching staff has often struggled with game planning adjustments after losses, particularly when facing the added pressure of being favored away from home. The team tends to overthink their approach in these spots, leading to conservative play-calling that fails to capitalize on their offensive weapons. Additionally, the Bengals have shown a pattern of poor emotional regulation when things don't go according to plan early in road games, often compounding mistakes rather than settling into their rhythm. Smart bettors should be particularly wary of backing Cincinnati in this scenario when they're facing divisional opponents or teams with strong home-field advantages. This trend carries the most weight when the Bengals are coming off a divisional loss and traveling to face another AFC North rival.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cincinnati Bengals's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Cincinnati Bengals have a 3-7-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 30% ATS win rate in this specific situation.
Is betting on the Cincinnati Bengals as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Bengals as away favorites after a loss is not profitable, with a -42.7% ROI. This represents significant losses for bettors backing Cincinnati in this scenario.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below the typical 50% ATS expectation and likely underperforms the league average. The 30% win rate and negative ROI indicate the Bengals struggle to cover spreads when favored on the road following defeats.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.