The data suggests caution when backing the Chicago Bears in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as on a 3+ game win streak, the Chicago Bears are just 46-56-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -13.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +13.9%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record46-56-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size102 games
ROI-13.9%
Units Won-14.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-5-00.0%-4.5%
20156-11-00.0%-32.6%
20165-4-00.0%+6.1%
20175-4-00.0%+6.1%
20183-3-00.0%-4.5%
20193-8-00.0%-47.9%
20204-5-00.0%-15.2%
20212-3-00.0%-23.6%
20222-5-00.0%-45.5%
20237-5-00.0%+11.4%
20244-3-00.0%+9.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bears' struggles when riding momentum streaks reflect a franchise caught between organizational identity crises and the psychological weight of elevated expectations. Chicago's defensive-minded culture historically thrives when playing with a chip on their shoulder, but success often exposes offensive limitations that become more glaring when opponents gameplan specifically to stop their momentum. The team's coaching instability over this period has meant inconsistent game management when facing the pressure of maintaining streaks. Market perception plays a crucial role here, as Chicago's passionate fanbase and media attention inflate betting lines when the Bears show signs of life. The franchise's boom-or-bust quarterback situations during these years meant that while defense could carry them to initial wins, offensive predictability became exploitable once teams had tape on successful game plans. The Bears also faced tougher scheduling spots during win streaks, often drawing divisional rivals or playoff-contending teams eager to knock them back down. Bettors should be particularly cautious backing Chicago when they're favored during win streaks, as the combination of inflated lines and offensive limitations creates poor value propositions. This trend matters most in divisional games and prime-time spots where the Bears face maximum pressure to prove their success is sustainable.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago Bears's ATS record as on a 3+ game win streak?

The Chicago Bears have a 46-56-0 ATS record when on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 45.1% ATS win rate over 102 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Chicago Bears as on a 3+ game win streak profitable?

No, betting on the Chicago Bears when on a 3+ game win streak has not been profitable. The strategy shows a -13.9% ROI with a 45.1% ATS win rate, indicating consistent losses for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is below the typical 50% ATS baseline expected in NFL betting. The Bears' 45.1% ATS rate when streaking hot suggests the betting market may overvalue them in these situations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.