The public often underestimates the Chicago Bears in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Chicago Bears hold a record of 6-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +14.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $1 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record6-4-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size10 games
ROI+14.6%
Units Won+1.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20151-0-00.0%+90.9%
20161-0-00.0%+90.9%
20170-1-00.0%-100.0%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20191-1-00.0%-4.5%
20201-0-00.0%+90.9%
20231-1-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bears' strong performance as medium underdogs stems from their defensive identity creating value in spots where the market underestimates their ability to keep games competitive. Chicago's defensive schemes under various coordinators have consistently emphasized forcing turnovers and limiting explosive plays, which becomes particularly effective when facing favored opponents who may become overly aggressive trying to cover larger spreads. This range captures the Bears in their most dangerous spots - facing quality opponents where they're not expected to win outright, but possess enough talent to stay within a touchdown. The franchise's culture of physical, grinding football translates well to these scenarios where they can lean on their defense to create short fields and limit possessions. Teams laying 3.5 to 7 points against Chicago often struggle to pull away decisively, as the Bears' defensive pressure can force the type of mistakes that keep underdogs alive. The psychological element matters significantly here. Chicago players and coaches have historically embraced the underdog role, particularly at Soldier Field where weather and crowd noise can neutralize talent disparities. When betting Bears as medium underdogs, focus on divisional matchups and games with projected low totals where their defensive strengths are amplified and high-powered offenses face the most resistance.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago Bears's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?

The Chicago Bears have a 6-4-0 ATS record when favored as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7 points) from 2014-2024. This represents a 60% ATS win rate over 10 games in this betting situation.

Is betting on the Chicago Bears as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Chicago Bears as medium underdogs has been profitable with a 14.6% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering the spread in 6 of 10 games, the positive ROI indicates good value in this betting spot.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Bears' 60% ATS win rate as medium underdogs is above the typical league average of around 50% for ATS performance. The 14.6% ROI also suggests they have provided better value than average in this specific betting situation.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.