Chicago Bears Large Favorite (-7.5+) Betting Trend

The Bears' struggles as large favorites stem from a fundamental organizational identity crisis that has persisted across multiple coaching regimes. Chicago has historically built its reputation on defensive prowess and grinding out victories, making them uncomfortable in high-scoring affairs where they're expected to dominate. When installed as heavy favorites, the Bears often face teams with nothing to lose while carrying the psychological burden of expectation. The franchise's quarterback instability compounds this issue significantly. Whether it's been Jay Cutler, Mitchell Trubisky, or Justin Fields, Chicago's signal-callers have consistently wilted under the pressure of needing to deliver commanding performances. The Bears' offensive philosophy has remained conservative even when situations demand aggression, leading to underwhelming victories that fail to cover inflated spreads. Chicago's coaching staff has repeatedly shown poor game management when ahead, often reverting to prevent-style play calling that allows inferior opponents to stay competitive. The team's tendency to play down to competition reflects a lack of killer instinct that championship-caliber franchises possess. Bettors should strongly consider fading the Bears when they're laying more than a touchdown, particularly in divisional games where familiarity breeds competitive contests regardless of talent disparity.