Chicago Bears Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Chicago Bears in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Chicago Bears hold a record of 16-9-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +22.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $6 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2017 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Bears' success as home underdogs stems from their organizational DNA as a defensive-minded franchise that thrives when expectations are lowered. Chicago's defensive units historically perform better at Soldier Field, where wind conditions and crowd noise create additional obstacles for opposing offenses already favored to win. The psychological element cannot be understated - Bears teams have consistently shown resilience when written off, particularly in front of their passionate fanbase that creates genuine home-field advantage. Soldier Field's unique playing conditions amplify this effect. The lakefront winds and often harsh weather conditions tend to level the playing field between superior and inferior teams, making games more about execution than talent differential. Chicago's coaching staff has historically excelled at game-planning when they have extra time to prepare and less pressure to perform, leading to more creative defensive schemes and conservative offensive approaches that keep games close. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the Bears face teams that struggle in adverse weather conditions or have historically poor road performance. This trend carries the most weight during late-season divisional games and when Chicago faces warm-weather teams visiting in October through December, where environmental factors maximize their underdog value.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Chicago Bears's ATS record as home underdog?
The Chicago Bears have a 16-9-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 64% ATS win rate over 25 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Chicago Bears as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Chicago Bears as home underdogs has been profitable with a 22.2% ROI. Despite their 0% straight-up win rate, they consistently cover the spread in this role.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Bears' 64% ATS win rate as home underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for underdogs. Their 22.2% ROI indicates strong value in this betting situation.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.