Chicago Bears As Favorite Betting Trend

The Bears' struggles as favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between market perception and organizational reality. Chicago's brand carries historical weight that inflates their lines beyond their actual capabilities, particularly during stretches where defensive talent masks deeper offensive deficiencies. When favored, the Bears face opponents with nothing to lose while carrying the pressure of expectations they're rarely equipped to meet. Chicago's coaching instability and quarterback carousel have created an identity crisis that becomes magnified in favorite spots. The organization repeatedly overvalues defensive prowess while neglecting offensive infrastructure, leading to games where they can keep contests close but lack the firepower to pull away from motivated underdogs. Their conservative offensive philosophy becomes a liability when forced to dictate tempo and scoring pace. The psychological burden of being favored exposes Chicago's limited ceiling. Teams playing with house money against the Bears often find success through aggressive game plans, while Chicago's coaching staff tends toward risk-averse decisions that prevent them from covering spreads even in victories. This trend matters most when Chicago is favored by 3-7 points in divisional games or against teams with losing records, where the gap between perception and reality creates the most value for contrarian bettors.