The data suggests caution when backing the Carolina Panthers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home games, the Carolina Panthers are just 19-25-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -17.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +17.6%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record19-25-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size44 games
ROI-17.6%
Units Won-7.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-4-00.0%-61.8%
20152-2-00.0%-4.5%
20162-3-00.0%-23.6%
20171-1-00.0%-4.5%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20190-1-00.0%-100.0%
20201-4-00.0%-61.8%
20211-2-00.0%-36.4%
20226-1-00.0%+63.6%
20233-0-00.0%+90.9%
20241-6-00.0%-72.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Panthers' disappointing home performance against the spread stems from a franchise caught between rebuilding phases and unrealistic market expectations. Carolina's home crowd at Bank of America Stadium has historically been less intimidating than other NFL venues, failing to provide the typical home-field advantage that oddsmakers often overvalue when setting lines. The franchise's inconsistent quarterback play over the past decade has been particularly problematic at home, where fans expect offensive fireworks but instead witness conservative game plans designed to minimize mistakes. Charlotte's betting market tends to overreact to small sample sizes and recent performance, creating inflated home lines that rarely reflect the team's true capabilities. The Panthers have struggled with slow starts in home games, often falling behind early and forcing them into catch-up mode against their offensive identity. Their coaching staff has shown a tendency to play not to lose at home rather than playing to win, leading to underwhelming performances that fail to cover spreads. Smart bettors should target Carolina home games when they're favored by more than a field goal, as the market consistently overvalues their home advantage. This trend becomes most valuable during primetime home games and divisional matchups, where public betting inflates the lines even further beyond the team's actual strength.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Carolina Panthers's ATS record as home games?

The Carolina Panthers have an ATS record of 19-25-0 in home games from 2014-2024. This represents a 43.2% ATS win rate over 44 total home games during this period.

Is betting on the Carolina Panthers as home games profitable?

No, betting on the Carolina Panthers in home games has not been profitable. With an ROI of -17.6%, bettors would have lost approximately 17.6 cents for every dollar wagered on Panthers home games from 2014-2024.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Panthers' 43.2% home ATS win rate is below the league average of approximately 50%. Their -17.6% ROI significantly underperforms the expected break-even point for sports betting.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.