The data suggests caution when backing the Carolina Panthers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Carolina Panthers are just 13-32-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -44.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +44.9%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record13-32-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size45 games
ROI-44.9%
Units Won-20.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-5-00.0%-45.5%
20152-4-00.0%-36.4%
20160-3-00.0%-100.0%
20170-2-00.0%-100.0%
20191-3-00.0%-52.3%
20202-4-00.0%-36.4%
20212-5-00.0%-45.5%
20221-1-00.0%-4.5%
20233-2-00.0%+14.6%
20240-3-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Panthers' struggles as favorites stem from a franchise caught between competing identities throughout the past decade. Carolina has consistently been a team built on defensive intensity and ground control, but these strengths become liabilities when laying points. Their conservative offensive approach under multiple coaching regimes has made it difficult to pull away from inferior opponents, leading to countless backdoor covers for underdogs. The psychological element cannot be ignored either. Carolina has rarely been in sustained periods of dominance, meaning when they do enter games as favorites, the team often lacks the killer instinct that separates elite franchises from pretenders. This manifests in predictable play-calling when protecting leads and a tendency to let lesser opponents hang around longer than the spread suggests they should. The franchise's quarterback instability has compounded these issues, as inconsistent signal-caller play makes it nearly impossible to control games through the air when running games stall. Whether it was Cam Newton's injury concerns, Sam Darnold's limitations, or the various stopgap solutions, Carolina has rarely possessed the offensive firepower to justify laying significant points. This trend matters most when Carolina is favored by more than a field goal against divisional opponents, where familiarity breeds competitive games regardless of talent disparity.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Carolina Panthers's ATS record as as favorite?

The Carolina Panthers have a 13-32-0 ATS record when favored from 2014-2024. This represents a 28.9% cover rate over 45 games as favorites.

Is betting on the Carolina Panthers as as favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Carolina Panthers as favorites is not profitable with a -44.9% ROI. This means bettors would lose approximately 45 cents for every dollar wagered on Carolina when they're favored.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Panthers' 28.9% ATS cover rate as favorites is significantly below the league average of approximately 50%. Their performance ranks among the worst in the NFL for teams laying points during this timeframe.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.