Buffalo Bills Away Games Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Buffalo Bills show mixed results as away games. Since 2014, they're 20-18-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +0.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2021 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2022 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2024 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Buffalo Bills' road performance reflects a franchise that has undergone significant transformation over the past decade, with their away struggles largely tied to organizational instability and quarterback inconsistency during the drought years. Buffalo's cold-weather identity actually works against them on the road, where they lose their Highmark Stadium wind advantage and must adapt to varying climates and field conditions. The Bills have historically struggled with crowd noise management in hostile environments, leading to communication breakdowns and pre-snap penalties that kill drives. However, the recent uptick in road form coincides directly with Josh Allen's development and Sean McDermott's defensive culture taking hold. Allen's arm strength and mobility allow Buffalo to maintain their aggressive downfield passing attack regardless of venue, while McDermott's defense travels well due to its communication-heavy zone coverage schemes that don't rely on crowd energy. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Buffalo faces dome teams or warm-weather opponents late in the season, as the Bills' physical, cold-weather style often overwhelms finesse teams playing in controlled environments. This trend matters most in December and January road games against teams from warmer climates, where Buffalo's conditioning and physicality create the largest competitive edge.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Buffalo Bills's ATS record as away games?
The Buffalo Bills have a 20-18-0 against the spread (ATS) record in away games from 2014-2024. This represents a 52.6% ATS win rate over 38 away games during this period.
Is betting on the Buffalo Bills as away games profitable?
Betting on the Buffalo Bills in away games has been marginally profitable with a 0.5% ROI from 2014-2024. While the return is positive, it's minimal and indicates break-even performance over the long term.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Bills' 52.6% ATS win rate in away games is slightly above the theoretical break-even point of 52.4% needed to overcome sportsbook juice. This performance is roughly average compared to most NFL teams' away ATS records.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.