Baltimore Ravens Small Favorite (-1 to -3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Baltimore Ravens show mixed results as small favorite (-1 to -3). Since 2014, they're 7-7-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Ravens' mediocre performance as small favorites stems from their identity crisis in close games where they're expected to control but not dominate. Baltimore has historically been built around defensive dominance and running game control, but when installed as modest favorites, they often face opponents with enough talent to exploit their offensive limitations while staying competitive against their defense. Small favorite situations typically arise when the Ravens face divisional rivals or teams with comparable records, creating games where their traditional strengths become neutralized. Their defense, while typically elite, can't generate the same game-changing plays against prepared opponents who've studied their tendencies extensively. Meanwhile, their offense has frequently struggled with consistency in these spots, particularly when Lamar Jackson faces defensive coordinators who've had time to prepare specific containment schemes. The psychological element plays a significant role as well. Baltimore often enters these games expecting their talent advantage to manifest naturally, leading to conservative game planning that fails to account for motivated underdogs. Their coaching staff has shown a tendency to play not to lose rather than playing to win when facing supposedly inferior competition. This trend matters most in divisional games and primetime spots where opponents have extra motivation and preparation time to neutralize Baltimore's core strengths.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Baltimore Ravens's ATS record as small favorite (-1 to -3)?
The Baltimore Ravens have a 7-7-0 ATS record when favored by 1-3 points from 2014-2024. This represents a 50% cover rate across 14 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Baltimore Ravens as small favorite (-1 to -3) profitable?
No, betting on the Ravens as small favorites (-1 to -3) is not profitable with a -4.5% ROI. Despite the even ATS record, the negative return indicates losses due to the standard -110 betting juice.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Ravens' 50% ATS cover rate as small favorites is slightly below the expected break-even point needed to overcome betting juice. Most successful teams in this spot typically need to cover at 52.4% or higher to generate positive returns.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.