Baltimore Ravens Medium Favorite (-3.5 to -7) Betting Trend

The Ravens' struggles as medium favorites stem from their identity crisis in these spots. Baltimore has historically been built around defensive dominance and ground control, but when laying 3.5 to 7 points, they're often expected to win convincingly through offensive firepower rather than their traditional strengths. This creates a fundamental mismatch between public perception and team construction. Lamar Jackson's dual-threat ability generates inflated point spreads, as oddsmakers and the public overvalue explosive offensive potential in medium favorite situations. However, the Ravens' ball-control approach and defensive philosophy naturally leads to closer games than the spread suggests. When Baltimore tries to cover larger numbers, they often abandon their methodical ground game too early, forcing Jackson into uncomfortable passing situations against stacked defenses. The Ravens also face unique motivational challenges in these spots. As a franchise accustomed to being underdogs or slight favorites, medium favorite roles can create complacency, particularly against divisional opponents who know their tendencies intimately. Their recent playoff disappointments have only amplified this psychological burden when expectations run high. This trend matters most against AFC North rivals and teams with strong rushing defenses that can neutralize Baltimore's primary offensive weapon and force them into one-dimensional play.