The data suggests caution when backing the Atlanta Falcons in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as on a 3+ game losing streak, the Atlanta Falcons are just 42-46-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.9%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record42-46-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size88 games
ROI-8.9%
Units Won-7.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20152-5-00.0%-45.5%
20162-4-00.0%-36.4%
20174-4-00.0%-4.5%
20184-3-00.0%+9.1%
20195-5-00.0%-4.5%
20203-5-00.0%-28.4%
20217-4-00.0%+21.5%
20226-4-00.0%+14.6%
20234-4-00.0%-4.5%
20245-8-00.0%-26.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Falcons' struggles during extended losing streaks stem from their organizational tendency toward offensive volatility and defensive inconsistency. When Atlanta falls behind in multiple games, their pass-heavy attack under various coordinators becomes predictable, forcing them into one-dimensional situations that savvy opponents exploit. The franchise has historically lacked the defensive foundation to keep games competitive during rough patches, meaning they often fall behind early and abandon their ground game entirely. Atlanta's coaching staff has shown a pattern of overthinking adjustments during adversity rather than sticking to core strengths. This manifests in frequent personnel changes and scheme modifications that disrupt team chemistry precisely when stability is most needed. The Falcons' home field advantage at Mercedes-Benz Stadium also diminishes significantly during losing streaks, as the fan base's energy drops and opposing teams gain confidence attacking what should be a hostile environment. The psychological factor cannot be understated - Atlanta's recent playoff disappointments have created a culture where doubt creeps in quickly once adversity hits. Players press to make individual plays rather than executing within the system, leading to turnovers and missed assignments that compound their problems. This trend carries the most weight when the Falcons enter divisional games during a losing streak, as NFC South opponents have consistently capitalized on Atlanta's fragile mental state.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Atlanta Falcons's ATS record as on a 3+ game losing streak?

The Atlanta Falcons have an ATS record of 42-46-0 when on a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 47.7% ATS win rate over 88 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Atlanta Falcons as on a 3+ game losing streak profitable?

No, betting on the Atlanta Falcons when on a 3+ game losing streak is not profitable. The team has a 0.0% win rate and generates a negative -8.9% ROI in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is below league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% of spreads. The Falcons' 47.7% ATS rate when on losing streaks indicates they tend to underperform expectations in these situations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.