Atlanta Falcons Home After 2+ Losses Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Atlanta Falcons show mixed results as home after 2+ losses. Since 2014, they're 27-25-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -0.9%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2017 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2019 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2021 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2022 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Falcons' mediocre performance as home favorites following multiple losses stems from their historically volatile team identity and coaching instability. Atlanta has cycled through defensive coordinators and schemes regularly, creating inconsistency in their ability to make necessary adjustments after poor showings. When facing adversity, the franchise has often doubled down on their offensive strengths rather than addressing the systematic issues that led to consecutive defeats. Mercedes-Benz Stadium's dome environment can create false confidence, as the controlled conditions and crowd noise don't always translate to the mental toughness needed after back-to-back failures. The Falcons have repeatedly shown they struggle with the psychological weight of expectations when returning home as favorites, particularly when their high-powered offense hasn't been the primary issue during losing streaks. The team's tendency to abandon balanced game plans in favor of aerial fireworks has made them predictable in bounce-back spots, allowing opponents to game-plan effectively despite being road underdogs. Atlanta's defense has historically wilted under pressure situations where they're expected to dominate lesser competition. This trend carries the most weight when the Falcons are favored by more than a field goal against teams with mobile quarterbacks or strong rushing attacks that can exploit their defensive vulnerabilities.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Atlanta Falcons's ATS record as home after 2+ losses?
The Atlanta Falcons have an ATS record of 27-25-0 when playing at home after suffering 2 or more consecutive losses from 2014-2024. This translates to a 51.9% ATS win rate over 52 games.
Is betting on the Atlanta Falcons as home after 2+ losses profitable?
No, betting on the Atlanta Falcons at home after 2+ losses is not profitable, showing a -0.9% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a slightly above-average ATS record, the negative return indicates losses after accounting for standard betting juice.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Falcons' 51.9% ATS rate in this situation is slightly above the theoretical break-even point of 52.4% needed to overcome standard -110 betting odds. However, the minimal edge and negative ROI suggest this trend performs roughly at league average with no significant betting advantage.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.