The public often underestimates the Arizona Cardinals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Arizona Cardinals hold a record of 11-3-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +50.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $7 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record11-3-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size14 games
ROI+50.0%
Units Won+7.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20152-0-00.0%+90.9%
20162-1-00.0%+27.3%
20172-0-00.0%+90.9%
20182-0-00.0%+90.9%
20200-1-00.0%-100.0%
20232-1-00.0%+27.3%
20241-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cardinals' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational culture of embracing the underdog mentality while possessing enough talent to compete with superior opponents. Arizona has historically thrived when expectations are lowered but not completely dismissed, finding that sweet spot where they're motivated by disrespect yet still viewed as legitimate threats. This franchise has consistently fielded teams with explosive offensive capabilities and opportunistic defenses that can create short fields through turnovers. When laying 3.5 to 7 points, opponents often approach these games expecting comfortable victories, leading to conservative game plans that play directly into Arizona's hands. The Cardinals excel at creating chaos through their aggressive defensive schemes and quick-strike offensive potential, particularly effective against teams that might be looking ahead or playing not to lose. The desert heat factor at home cannot be understated, as visiting teams frequently struggle with the conditions while Arizona players are acclimated. This environmental advantage becomes magnified when opponents aren't taking the Cardinals seriously enough to prepare for the physical demands. This trend carries the most weight in divisional matchups and games following Arizona losses, when motivation peaks and the team's pride becomes a tangible factor.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Arizona Cardinals's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?

The Arizona Cardinals have an 11-3-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This represents a 78.6% ATS win rate in this betting situation.

Is betting on the Arizona Cardinals as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Arizona Cardinals as medium underdogs has been highly profitable with a 50.0% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 11-3 ATS record in this spot has generated consistent value for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Cardinals' 78.6% ATS rate as medium underdogs is exceptionally strong compared to typical NFL betting trends.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.