The public often underestimates the Arizona Cardinals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Arizona Cardinals hold a record of 17-6-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +41.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $9 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record17-6-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size23 games
ROI+41.1%
Units Won+9.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-1-00.0%-4.5%
20155-0-00.0%+90.9%
20162-0-00.0%+90.9%
20172-2-00.0%-4.5%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20201-0-00.0%+90.9%
20221-0-00.0%+90.9%
20232-1-00.0%+27.3%
20242-1-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cardinals' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their tendency to play loose when expectations are minimal. Arizona has historically thrived in the underdog role because it removes the pressure of being favored while allowing their defensive schemes to focus purely on disruption rather than game management. When facing significant point spreads, the Cardinals benefit from game scripts that often keep contests closer than anticipated. Their defensive coordinator typically employs more aggressive blitz packages and exotic coverages when trailing, creating turnovers and short fields that lead to backdoor covers even in losses. The team's veteran leadership has consistently kept players motivated in seemingly hopeless situations, preventing the emotional collapse that destroys many large underdogs. Arizona's offensive approach also shifts dramatically in these spots, becoming more willing to take calculated risks on fourth downs and attempt explosive plays rather than grinding out methodical drives. This aggressive mindset often produces surprising offensive outbursts against defenses that may be playing more conservatively with large leads. Bettors should target Cardinals large underdog spots specifically in divisional games and primetime contests, where familiarity breeds competitive games and national television amplifies the team's motivation to exceed lowered expectations.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Arizona Cardinals's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?

The Arizona Cardinals have a 17-6-0 ATS record when they are large underdogs of +7.5 points or more from 2014-2024. This represents a 73.9% ATS win rate over 23 games.

Is betting on the Arizona Cardinals as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Arizona Cardinals as large underdogs (+7.5+) has been highly profitable with a 41.1% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite never winning these games outright (0.0% win rate), they consistently cover the spread.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 73.9% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for large underdogs. The Cardinals have been exceptionally profitable in this spot, making them one of the best large underdog bets in the NFL over this period.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.