The public often underestimates the Arizona Cardinals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Arizona Cardinals hold a record of 15-5-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +43.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $9 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record15-5-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size20 games
ROI+43.2%
Units Won+8.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-0-00.0%+90.9%
20153-0-00.0%+90.9%
20162-0-00.0%+90.9%
20173-1-00.0%+43.2%
20182-0-00.0%+90.9%
20190-1-00.0%-100.0%
20201-1-00.0%-4.5%
20231-1-00.0%-4.5%
20242-1-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cardinals' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from their unique ability to thrive when expectations are lowered and their backs are against the wall. Arizona has historically been a franchise that plays with maximum effort when disrespected by oddsmakers, particularly at State Farm Stadium where the desert heat and artificial turf create challenging conditions for visiting teams unaccustomed to the environment. This trend reflects the Cardinals' organizational culture under various coaching regimes - they've consistently been a team that responds well to adversity and performs better when they can embrace the underdog mentality. The franchise has also benefited from having mobile quarterbacks who can extend plays and create chaos against defensive game plans designed to contain more traditional pocket passers. When combined with Arizona's tendency to employ aggressive defensive schemes that can fluster road favorites, the Cardinals become particularly dangerous when laying points seems illogical. The psychological edge of playing at home while being written off by the betting public creates a perfect storm for value. Arizona players feed off the energy of proving doubters wrong in their own building. This trend carries the most weight when the Cardinals are catching 3+ points at home against divisional opponents or teams coming off emotional victories.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Arizona Cardinals's ATS record as home underdog?

The Arizona Cardinals have an outstanding 15-5-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 75% ATS win rate over 20 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Arizona Cardinals as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Cardinals as home underdogs has been highly profitable with a 43.2% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a 0% straight-up win rate, they consistently cover the spread as home underdogs.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS. The Cardinals' 75% ATS rate and 43.2% ROI as home underdogs represents exceptional value for bettors.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.