Washington Wizards Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Washington Wizards in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Washington Wizards hold a record of 71-38-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +24.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $27 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2015 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2016 | 8-3-0 | 0.0% | +38.8% |
| 2017 | 10-4-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2018 | 5-6-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2019 | 8-4-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2021 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2022 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2023 | 4-7-0 | 0.0% | -30.6% |
| 2024 | 9-2-0 | 0.0% | +56.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Wizards' success as home underdogs stems from their organizational culture of playing with house money when expectations are lowest. Washington has historically thrived in the undervalued role, where the pressure shifts entirely to favored opponents who must justify their status on the road. The franchise's inconsistent regular season performance actually works in their favor here, as oddsmakers often overcompensate for their recent struggles when setting lines. Capital One Arena becomes a different beast when the Wizards embrace the underdog mentality. Their young core feeds off the energy of proving doubters wrong, while veteran leadership tends to elevate their game when facing supposedly superior competition. The team's offensive pace naturally increases at home, creating more possessions and opportunities to exploit defensive lapses from road favorites who may be playing down to competition. Washington's coaching staff has shown remarkable ability to gameplan specifically for these spots, often implementing defensive schemes that disrupt favored teams' rhythm early. Road favorites frequently struggle with the physicality and crowd noise, leading to poor shooting performances that keep games closer than the spread suggests. This trend carries maximum value when the Wizards face playoff-bound teams on back-to-back situations or teams playing their fourth road game in seven days.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Wizards's ATS record as home underdog?
The Washington Wizards have an impressive 71-38-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 65.1% ATS win rate over 109 games.
Is betting on the Washington Wizards as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Washington Wizards as home underdogs has been highly profitable with a 24.4% ROI. This strong return is supported by their 71-38 ATS record in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Wizards' 65.1% ATS win rate as home underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 24.4% ROI indicates this has been one of the most profitable betting angles in the NBA over this period.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.