The data suggests caution when backing the Washington Wizards in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Washington Wizards are just 97-143-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -22.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +22.8%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record97-143-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size241 games
ROI-22.8%
Units Won-54.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201412-14-00.0%-11.9%
20157-13-00.0%-33.2%
20167-12-00.0%-29.7%
20177-15-00.0%-39.3%
20187-17-00.0%-44.3%
201915-12-00.0%+6.1%
20206-8-10.0%-18.2%
20219-10-00.0%-9.6%
20228-14-00.0%-30.6%
20239-15-00.0%-28.4%
202410-13-00.0%-17.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Wizards' struggles as favorites stem from a franchise culture that has historically lacked the killer instinct needed to close out games they're expected to win. Washington's roster construction over the past decade has emphasized individual talent over cohesive team play, creating a dynamic where they can compete with elite teams but struggle to impose their will against supposedly inferior opponents. The psychological burden of being favored appears particularly heavy for a franchise accustomed to underdog status. When oddsmakers give Washington respect, the team often plays down to competition rather than asserting dominance. Their defensive inconsistency becomes magnified in these spots, as they tend to relax against teams they perceive as less threatening, allowing backdoor covers and outright upsets. The Wizards' offensive identity compounds this issue. Built around ball-dominant guards and inconsistent three-point shooting, their attack can stagnate against teams that pack the paint and force contested jumpers. Lesser opponents often execute simple game plans effectively against Washington's predictable offensive sets. Smart bettors should be most cautious backing Washington as home favorites of 3-7 points against sub-.500 teams, where the combination of overconfidence and defensive lapses creates the perfect storm for disappointing performances.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Washington Wizards's ATS record as as favorite?

The Washington Wizards have a 97-143-1 ATS record when favored from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 40.2% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances by any team as favorites over this period.

Is betting on the Washington Wizards as as favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Washington Wizards as favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -22.8% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost approximately $228 for every $1,000 wagered on the Wizards when they were favored.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as favorites typically cover around 48-50% of spreads. The Wizards' 40.2% ATS rate as favorites ranks among the worst in the NBA over this timeframe.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.