Washington Wizards Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Washington Wizards in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Washington Wizards are just 19-28-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -22.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +22.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2015 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2018 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2023 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2024 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Wizards' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a franchise culture that has historically lacked the mental fortitude to bounce back in hostile environments. When Washington faces the added pressure of being favored away from home after a defeat, their tendency toward inconsistent effort and poor late-game execution becomes magnified. The team's core players over this period have often been talented but emotionally volatile performers who struggle with the psychological weight of expectations, particularly Bradley Beal and Russell Westbrook during their partnership. Road favorites after losses represent one of the most challenging spots in basketball, requiring teams to overcome both the sting of defeat and the pressure of being expected to win in an opponent's building. The Wizards have consistently failed this test because their roster construction has prioritized individual talent over collective resilience. Their defensive schemes often break down when facing adversity, and their offensive sets become predictable when opponents force them into half-court execution. Bettors should view Washington road favorites after losses as consistent fade opportunities, especially when the spread is modest. This trend carries the most weight when the Wizards are slight favorites of three points or fewer, as these games typically feature motivated home underdogs facing a mentally fragile visiting team.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Wizards's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Washington Wizards have gone 19-28-0 against the spread as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 40.4% ATS win rate over 47 total games in this situation.
Is betting on the Washington Wizards as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Washington Wizards as away favorites after a loss has not been profitable. The strategy shows a -22.8% ROI, meaning bettors would have lost approximately 23 cents for every dollar wagered over this 10-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the expected 50% break-even rate for ATS betting. The 40.4% win rate and negative ROI indicate the Wizards have consistently struggled to cover spreads in this specific situation compared to typical betting expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.