Washington Wizards Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Washington Wizards in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Washington Wizards are just 46-77-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -28.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +28.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-10-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2015 | 3-9-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2017 | 2-7-0 | 0.0% | -57.6% |
| 2018 | 4-11-0 | 0.0% | -49.1% |
| 2019 | 7-7-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2021 | 6-6-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 2-8-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2023 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 7-5-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Wizards' struggles as road favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between their identity and market expectations. Washington has historically been a team built on offensive firepower rather than defensive consistency, making them vulnerable when the betting public overvalues their talent against supposedly weaker opponents. Their fast-paced style that thrives at home becomes a liability on the road, where unfamiliar environments disrupt their rhythm and expose defensive weaknesses that sharper opponents can exploit. Road favorites face unique psychological pressure to validate the market's confidence, and Washington's young core has consistently wilted under these expectations. The franchise's culture of inconsistency means they often play down to competition rather than asserting dominance, particularly in hostile environments where their offensive flow gets disrupted. Teams facing the Wizards as home underdogs typically play with extra motivation, knowing they're getting points against a defensively porous opponent. The most profitable fade opportunities emerge when Washington is favored by 3-7 points on the road against teams with strong home records or recent momentum. These spots represent classic overvaluation scenarios where the market respects the Wizards' talent more than their actual road performance warrants.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Wizards's ATS record as away favorite?
The Washington Wizards have a 46-77-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in just 37.4% of games. This represents 123 total games where they were favored on the road.
Is betting on the Washington Wizards as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Washington Wizards as away favorites is not profitable, with a -28.6% ROI and 0.0% win rate. This means consistent losses for bettors backing the Wizards in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS and maintain closer to break-even ROI. The Wizards' 37.4% cover rate and -28.6% ROI indicates they consistently fail to meet expectations as road favorites.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.