Utah Jazz Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Utah Jazz in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Utah Jazz hold a record of 28-15-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +24.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $10 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2021 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2022 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 6-1-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2024 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Jazz's exceptional performance as home underdogs after wins stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their ability to channel disrespect into motivation. Utah has historically thrived when expectations are low, particularly at home where their crowd becomes more engaged when the team is fighting uphill battles. The psychological dynamic of being favored to lose despite coming off a victory creates a perfect storm of confidence from recent success combined with the chip-on-shoulder mentality that has defined successful Jazz teams. Utah's coaching staff has consistently emphasized defensive intensity and execution in these spots, knowing that oddsmakers often undervalue their home court advantage and system-based approach. The team's veteran leadership has shown remarkable ability to maintain focus and avoid the letdown that many teams experience when transitioning from favorite to underdog status. Their disciplined offensive system becomes even more effective when opponents potentially overlook them due to the unfavorable betting line. Smart bettors should target this trend when Utah faces teams on the second night of back-to-backs or squads coming off emotional wins themselves. The value peaks when the Jazz are catching points against playoff-caliber opponents who might be looking ahead or assuming an easy road victory in Salt Lake City.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Utah Jazz's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Utah Jazz has a 28-15-0 ATS record when playing as a home underdog after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 65.1% ATS win rate over 43 games.
Is betting on the Utah Jazz as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Utah Jazz as a home underdog after a win has been highly profitable with a 24.3% ROI. This strong return indicates consistent value in this specific betting situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 65.1% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical 52.4% needed to break even in sports betting. The Jazz's performance in this situation has been well above league average expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.