The data suggests caution when backing the Utah Jazz in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as favorite after 3+ game losing streak, the Utah Jazz are just 68-133-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -35.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +35.4%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record68-133-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size201 games
ROI-35.4%
Units Won-71.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-8-00.0%-18.2%
20156-10-00.0%-28.4%
20165-14-00.0%-49.8%
20173-12-00.0%-61.8%
20182-11-00.0%-70.6%
201910-16-00.0%-26.6%
20207-13-00.0%-33.2%
20216-13-00.0%-39.7%
20227-12-00.0%-29.7%
20238-12-00.0%-23.6%
20248-12-00.0%-23.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Jazz's struggles as favorites following extended losing streaks reveal a franchise caught between inflated market expectations and underlying roster limitations. Utah's organizational culture, built around defensive consistency and systematic execution, becomes particularly vulnerable when confidence erodes during rough patches. The team's reliance on role players stepping up in featured spots often backfires when the pressure intensifies as betting favorites, creating a disconnect between their actual capabilities and public perception. Utah's coaching staff has historically struggled to make the necessary tactical adjustments that would justify favorite status after multiple losses. The franchise's tendency to stick with established rotations and schemes, while admirable for long-term development, leaves them exposed when opponents have multiple games of recent film to exploit weaknesses. This rigidity becomes magnified when the betting market still views them as the superior team despite clear evidence of systematic issues. The psychological weight of being favored while simultaneously questioning their own execution creates a perfect storm for underperformance. Players press to justify the line rather than playing within their established roles, leading to forced shots and defensive breakdowns. This trend carries the most significance when Utah faces divisional opponents who understand their tendencies intimately, as familiarity compounds the existing pressure dynamics.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Utah Jazz's ATS record as favorite after 3+ game losing streak?

The Utah Jazz has a 68-133-0 ATS record as favorites after a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 33.8% ATS win rate over 201 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the Utah Jazz as favorite after 3+ game losing streak profitable?

No, betting on the Utah Jazz as favorites after a 3+ game losing streak is not profitable. The strategy shows a -35.4% ROI with a 0% straight-up win rate, indicating consistent losses for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% ATS in similar situations. The Jazz's 33.8% ATS rate and negative ROI make this one of the worst betting trends in the database.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.